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Recent Publications

Books and Chapters

Michael Davidson and co-authorsFoundations for a Low-Carbon Energy System in China. Cambridge University Press, 2021.

David Fortunato. The Cycle of Coalition: How Parties and Voters Interact under Coalition Governance. Cambridge University Press, 2021.

Francisco Garfias and Emily A. Sellars. State Building in Historical Political Economy. The Oxford Handbook of Historical Political Economy. Forthcoming, Oxford University Press. 

Stephan Haggard and Robert Kaufman. Backsliding: Democratic Regress in the Contemporary World, Cambridge University Press, 2021.

​​​​LaGina Gause. The Advantage of Disadvantage: Costly Protest and Political Representation for Marginalized Groups. Cambridge University Press, 2022. 

Barry Naughton. Chapter 7: A Perspective on Chinese Economics: What Have We Learned? What Did We Fail to Anticipate? Engaging China, 174-196. Columbia University Press, 2021. 

Barry Naughton. The Rise of China's Industrial Policy, 1978 to 2020. Universidad Nacional Autónomica de México, Facultad de Economía, 2021. 

Sara Lowes. “Culture in Historical Political Economy,” in preparation for The Oxford Handbook of Historical Political Economy, Oxford University Press. 

Sara Lowes. “How Natural Experiments in History Can Inform Development,” in preparation for Handbook of Experimental Development Economics. Edward Elgar Publishing.  

Lauren Prather and Sarah Bush.Monitors and Meddlers: How Foreign Actors Influence Local Trust in Elections.” Forthcoming, Cambridge University Press.

Papers

John Ahlquist. “Making Decent Jobs.” Daedalus special issue on the new moral political economy, April 2022.

John Ahlquist. "Work and Workers in International Markets." Oxford Handbook of International Political Economy, July 2021. 

Carlos Fernando Avenancio-León and Diego Aparicio. “Is Banning Corporate Contributions Enough? The Dynamics of Incomplete Campaign Finance Reform Accepted, Journal of Law & Economics. November 2021.

Samuel Bazzi and co-authors. Sundown Towns and Racial Exclusion: The Southern White Diaspora and the ‘Great Retreat.’” Forthcoming. American Economic Association: Papers & Proceedings.

Samuel Bazzi and co-authors. "The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia." Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming. Last edited: February 04, 2021.

Samuel Bazzi and Matthew Gudgeon. "The Political Boundaries of Ethnic Divisions." AEJ: Applied Economics, 2021.

Eli Berman and Zaur Rzakhanov. “Fertility, Migration and Altruism.” Journal of Demographic Economics 86(3): 367- 402. September 2020. 

Renee Bowenand J. Lawrence Broz. The Domestic Political-Economy of the WTO Crisis: Lessons for Preserving Multilateralism.” Sep 2021.
Lawrence Broz, Jeffry Frieden and Stephen Weymouth. “Populism in Place: The Economic Geography of the Globalization Backlash,”International Organization 75, 2 464-94. Data and code available at the Dataverse Network. 2021.

Michael Davidson and Margaret Pearson. “Static Electricity: Institutional and Ideational Barriers to China’s Market Reforms.” Studies in Comparative International Development. 2022. 

Michael Davidson, Gao, X., Busby, J., Shearer, C., & Eisenman, J. “The Challenges of Coal Phaseout: Coal Plant Development and Foreign Finance in Indonesia and Vietnam.” Global Environmental Politics, 21(4), 1–24. 2021. 

Michael Davidson, Karplus, V. J., Zhang, D., & Zhang, X. “Policies and Institutions to Support Carbon Neutrality in China by 2060.” Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, 10(2). 2021. 

Fabian Eckert, Lucas Althoff, Sharat Ganapati, Conor Walsh. "The Geography of Remote Work." Regional Science and Urban Economics, Volume 93, March 2022.

Fabian Eckert, Mads Hejlesen, Conor Walsh. "The Return to Big-City Experience: Evidence from Refugees in Denmark." Journal of Urban Economics, April 14, 2022.

David Fortunato, Scott J. Cook. "The Politics of Police Data: State Legislative Capacity and the Transparency of State and Substate Agencies." Forthcoming, American Political Science Review. [Online Appendix

David Fortunato, Matthew V. Hibbing, Tessa Provins. "Hurdles to Inference: The Demographic Correlates of Survey Breakoff and Shirking." Forthcoming, Social Science Quarterly. 

David Fortunato, Tessa Provins and Nathan W. Monroe. "Allocating Costly Influence in Legislatures." Forthcoming. Journal of Politics. July 2022. 

David Fortunato. "Women’s Descriptive Representation and Gendered Import Tax Discrimination." American Political Science Review, Volume 115, Issue 1, February 2021, pp 307-315.

David Fortunato, John R. Hibbing, Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, and Matthew V. Hibbing. "Who do the people want to govern?" Forthcoming, Party Politics.

Francisco Garfias and Emily A. Sellars. “When State Building Backfires: Elite Coordination and Popular Grievance in Rebellion.” American Journal of Political Science. July 2021. 

Francisco Garfias and Darin Christensen. "The Politics of Property Taxation: Fiscal Infrastructure and Electoral Incentives in Brazil," The Journal of Politics, October 2021.

Francisco Garfias and Emily A. Sellars. "From Conquest to Centralization: Domestic Conflict and the Transition to Direct Rule," The Journal of Politics, July 2021.

Teevrat Garg, Ajay Shenoy. "The Ecological Impact of Place-Based Economic Policies." American Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol 103(4) pp. 1239-1250 August 2021.

LaGina Gause. Review of Vanguard: How Black Women Broke Barriers, Won the Vote, and Insisted on Equality for All by Martha S. Jones. National Review of Black Politics, October 2021, 2(4).

LaGina Gause. “Costly Protest and Minority Representation in the U.S.” PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 55 , Issue 2 , April 2022 , pp. 279 – 281.

Kyle Handley, Alejandro G. Grazino, Nuno Limão. “Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration.” The Economic Journal, Volume 131, Issue 635, April 2021, Pages 1150-1185.

Kyle Handley and N. Limão. “Trade Policy Uncertainty.” NBER Working Paper No. 29672. Forthcoming, Annual Review of Economics. January 2022. 

Federica Izzo, Torun Dewan and Stephane Wolton. “Cumulative Knowledge in the Social Sciences: The Case of Improving Voters' Information.” SSRN, March 2022. 

Federica Izzo“Ideology for the Future.” Conditionally Accepted at APSR.

Federica Izzo. “With Friends like These, Who Needs Enemies?” March 2022. 

Federica Izzo“Do We Get the Best Candidates When We Need Them the Most?”

Federica Izzo. “Who Runs When?” Under Review. March 2022. 

Ruixue Jia, Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, and Tong Liu. “Can Technology Solve the Principal-Agent Problem? Evidence from China's War on Air Pollution.” American Economic Review: Insights, March 2022.

Ruixue Jia and Ying Bai. "The Economic Consequences of Political Hierarchy: Evidence from Regime Changes in China, AD1000-2000." Review of Economics and Statistics. 

Ruixue Jia, Xiaohuan Lan and Gerard Padró I Miquel. “Doing Business in China: Parental Background and Government Intervention as Determinants of Entrepreneurship.” Journal of Development Economics.

Ruixue Jia and Hongbin Li. "Just Above the Cutoff: The Return to Elite Education in China." Revise and resubmit. Journal of Public Economics.

Ruixue Jia and Torsten Persson. “Choosing Ethnicity: The Interplay between Individual and Social Motives.” Journal of the European Economic Association, 2021. 

Michael F. Joseph"A Little Bit of Cheap Talk is a Dangerous Thing: States Can Communicate Intentions Persuasively and Raise the Risk of War," The Journal of Politics, 2021.

Michael F. Joseph, Michael Goldfien and Roseanne McManus. "Domestic Sources of International Reputation." American Political Science Review. June 2022. 

Michael F. Joseph, Michael Poznansky and William Spaniel. "Shooting the Messenger: The Challenge of National Security Whistleblowing." The Journal of Politics. 2022. 

Yoo Sun Jung, Erica Owen and GS Shim. "Heterogeneity in how investors respond to disputes: Greenfield FDI and co-Industrial disputes." The Journal of Politics. 83 (4). 2021.

Uma R. Karmarkar, Carroll, A. L., Burke, M., Hijikata, S. “Category congruence of "display-only" products influences attention and purchase decisions.” Frontiers in Neuroscience. 2021. 

Uma R. Karmarkar, Clithero, J., and Hsu, M. “Toward an Integrative Conceptualization of Maladaptive Consumer Behavior.” Journal of the Association for Consumer Research. 2021. 

Gaurav Khanna, Natalie Bau, Corinne Low, Manisha Shah, Sreyashi Sharmin and Alessandra Voena. “Women's Well-being During a Pandemic and its Containment.” Forthcoming, Journal of Development Economics. January 2022. 

David A. Lake, Bianca Freeman and D.G. Kim. “Race in International Relations: Beyond the ‘Norm Against Noticing.’” Forthcoming, Annual Review of Political Science. 2022.

David A. Lake. “The Organizational Ecology of Global Governance.” European Journal of International Relations 27, 2: 345-368. June 2021. 

Munseob Lee and David Argente. “Cost of Living Inequality during the Great Recession." Journal of the European Economic Association, Volume 19, Issue 2, April 2021, pp.913-952. 

Munseob Lee, David Argente and Chang-Tai Hsieh. “The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effects of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases." Review of Economics and Statistics, Volume 104, Issue 1, January 2022, pp.176-186. 

Munseob Lee and Rachel Finerman. COVID-19, Commuting Flows, and Air Quality.” Journal of Asian Economics, Volume 77, December 2021, Article 101374.

Munseob Lee, David Argente and Chang-Tai Hsieh. Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US.” Forthcoming, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. October 2021.  

Sara Lowes. “Kinship Structure, Stress, and the Gender Gap in Competition.” 
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, December 2021, Vol. 192, pp. 36-57.

Sara Lowes and E. Montero. “Concessions, Violence, and Indirect Rule: Evidence from the Congo Free State.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 2021, Vol. 136, No. 4, 2047-2091.

Marc-Andreas Muendler, Costas Arkolakis and Sharat Ganapati. "The extensive margin of exporting products: a firm-level analysis." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 13 (4): 182-245. October 2021.

Paul Niehaus, Markus Mobius, Muriel Niederle and Tanya Rosenblat. “Managing self-confidence: theory and experimental evidence.” Forthcoming, Management Science. October 2021. 

Paul Niehaus, Dennis Egger, Johannes Haushofer, Ted Miguel and Michael Walker.

“General equilibrium effects of cash transfers: experimental evidence from Kenya.” Forthcoming, Econometrica. September 2021. 

Paul Niehaus, Dennis Egger, Johannes Haushofer, Ted Miguel and Michael Walker. General equilibrium effects of cash transfers: experimental evidence from Kenya. Revise and resubmit, Econometrica. September 2021.

Agustina Paglayan"The Non-Democratic Roots of Mass Education: Evidence from 200 Years," American Political Science Review, Volume 115, Issue 1, February 2021, pp. 179 - 198. APSA 2019 Best Comparative Policy Paper Award.

Agustina Paglayan. “Education or Indoctrination? The Violent Origins of Public School Systems in an Era of State-Building.” American Political Science Review. 2022. (appendix

Nico Ravanilla, Dotan Haim and Renard Sexton. "Sustained Government Engagement Improves Subsequent Pandemic Risk Reporting In Conflict Zones," American Political Science Review, 2021.

Nico Ravanilla, Matthew Nanes, Dotan Haim. “Fire Alarms for Police Patrols: Experimental Evidence on Co-Production of Public Safety” Forthcoming, Journal of Politics. 

Nico Ravanilla, Allen Hicken. “When Legislators Don't Bring Home the Pork: The Case of Philippine Senators” Forthcoming, Political Science Research and Methods. 

Nico Ravanilla, Dotan Haim, Allen Hicken. “Brokers, Social Networks, Reciprocity, and Clientelism.” Forthcoming, American Journal of Political Science. 

Nico Ravanilla, Nicholas Haas, Katherine Haenschen, Tanu Kumar, Costas Panagopoulos, Kyle Peyton, Michael Sierra-Arévalo. “Organizational Identity and Positionality in Randomized Control Trials: Considerations and Advice for Collaborative Research Teams.” PS: Political Science & Politics. 2022. 

Nico Ravanilla, R Sexton, D Haim. "Deadly Populism: How Local Political Outsiders Drive Duterte’s War on Drugs in the Philippines.”  The Journal of Politics, 2022.

Nico Ravanilla, Michael Davidson, Allen Hicken. “Voting in Clientelistic Social Networks: Evidence from the Philippines.” Comparative Political Studies. 2022. 

Nico Ravanilla and co-authors. “Community policing does not build citizen trust in police or reduce crime in the Global South.” Science. 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, Bluhm, Richard, Pascal Polonik, Kyle S. Hemes, Luke C. Sanford, Susanne A. Benz, Morgan C. Levy, and Jennifer A. Burney. "Disparate air pollution reductions during California’s COVID-19 economic shutdown." Nature Sustainability (2022): 1-9.

Katharine L. Ricke, Mettiäinen, Ilona, Holly Jean Buck, Douglas G. MacMartin. "’Bog here, marshland there’: tensions in co-producing scientific knowledge on solar geoengineering in the Arctic." Environmental research letters 17, no. 4. 2022. 

Katharine L. Ricke and co-authors. Global Migration Response to Climate Trend and Variability.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, D Ivanova, T McKie, M Rugenstein. Reversing Sahelian Droughts via Regional Geoengineering.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, P Polonik, J Burney. COVID-19, Air Quality Equity, and US Climate Policy.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke and TN Felgenhauer. The prospect of solar geoengineering requires an emphasis on both emissions and temperature targets.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, P Polonik, S Reese, J Burney. Air Quality Equity in American Climate Policy.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, L Geller, CB Field. “Establishing a US Solar Geoengineering Research Program: A Forum for Discussion.” AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, Z Dove, J Horton. The middle powers roar: exploring a minilateral solar geoengineering deployment scenario.” Futures, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke and co-authors. Social science research to inform solar geoengineering.” Science, 2021. 

Katharine L. Ricke, D Ivanova, T McKie, M Rugenstein. Reversing Sahelian Droughts.” Geophysical Research Letters, 2021. 

Christina J. Schneider, Jennifer L. Tobin, and David Leblang. “Framing Unpopular Foreign Policies.” American Journal of Political Science. October 2021. 

Christina J. Schneider and Nathan Mariano. “Euroscepticism and Bargaining Success in the European Union.” Journal of European Public Policy 29 (1), 61-77. 2022.  

David G. Victor and CF Sabel. “Fixing the Climate: Strategies for an Uncertain World.” Princeton University Press. 2022. 

David G. Victor and co-authors. “To achieve deep cuts in US emissions, state-driven policy is only slightly more expensive than nationally uniform policy.”  Nature Climate Change. 2021. 

David G. Victor and R Hanna. “Marking the decarbonization revolutions.” Nature Energy vol 6, pg 568. June 2021.

David G. Victor, Wei Peng, Gokul Iyer, Matthew Binsted, Jennifer Marlon, Leon Clarke, James A Edmonds. “The surprisingly inexpensive cost of state-driven emission control strategies.” Nature Climate Change. 2021. 

David G. Victor and co-authors. “Climate policy models need to get real about people—here’s how.” Nature. 2021. 

David G. Victor and R Hanna. “Marking the decarbonization revolutions.” Nature Energy, 2021. 

David G. Victor, R Hanna, A Abdulla, Y Xu. “Emergency responses to the climate crisis: The case of direct air capture of CO2.” EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, 2021.

David G. Victor, R Hanna, A Abdulla, Y Xu. “Emergency deployment of direct air capture as a response to the climate crisis.” Nature communications, 2021.

David G. Victor and co-authors. “Transformations within reach: Pathways to a sustainable and resilient world-Rethinking energy solutions.” IIASA-ISC. 2021. 

David G. Victor, Valerie J. Karplus, M. Granger Morgan. "Finding Safe Zones for Science." Fall 2021.

David G. Victor, Sadir Frank, Eric Gesick. "Inviting Danger." March 2021.

Joel Watson and Xiameng Hua. “Starting Small in Project Choice: a Discrete-Time Setting with a Continuum of Types.” Journal of Economic Theory 204. September 2022. 

Joel Watson. “Theoretical Foundations of Relational Incentive Contracts.” Annual Review of Economics 13: 631–659. August 2021.

Joel Watson, Heidi Gjertsen, Theodore Groves, David A. Miller, Eduard Niesten, and Dale Squires. "The Optimal Structure of Conservation Agreements and Monitoring," Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 2021, in press.

2020

Books and Chapters

Munseob Lee and Gaurav Khanna. High-Skill Immigration, Innovation, and Creative Destruction in "The Roles of Immigrants and Foreign Students in US Science, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship," University of Chicago Press, February 2020, pp.73-98.

Papers

John Ahlquist and Layna Mosley. "Firm participation in voluntary regulatory initiatives: the Accord, Alliance, and US garment importers from Bangladesh." Review of International Organizations, 2020.

Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein and Mesay Gebresilasse. "Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic." Accepted, Journal of Public Economics. December 2020.

Lawrence Broz, Zhiwen Zhang and Gaoyang Wang, “Explaining Foreign Support for China's Global Economic Leadership”. June 2020.

LaGina Gause"Revealing Issue Salience via Costly Protest: How Legislative Behavior following Protest Advantages Low-Resource Groups," Accepted, British Journal of Political Science, 2020. Online Appendix.

Emilie Hafner-Burton, Lauren E. Ferry, and Christina J. Schneider. “Catch Me if You Care: International Development Organizations and National Corruption.” The Review of International Organizations, 2020.

Karthik Muralidharan, Sandip Sukhtankar and Jeff Weaver. "Improving last-mile service delivery using phone-based monitoring." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. 2020.

James Rauch“History Dependence, Cohort Attachment, and Job Referrals in Networks of Close Relationships,” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, February 2020, 75-95.

Christina J. Schneider“Public Commitments as Signals of Responsiveness in the European Union,” The Journal of Politics, 2020, 82(1): 329-344.

Christina J. Schneider, Maurits J. Meijers and Asya Zhelyazkova. “Mapping Channels of Responsiveness in the European Union: Actors, Publics, Venues.” Journal of European Public Policy, 2020, 26(11): 1724-1736.

Joel Watson"On the Outside-Option Principle with One-Sided Options," Economics Letters, 2020.

Joel Watson, David Miller and Trond Olsen.“Relational Contracting, Negotiation, and External Enforcement,” The American Economic Review 110, 2020, Issue 7: 2153–2197.